Portfolio manager comments — Q3 2025
The fund showed positive returns during the third quarter. Inflation in the U.S. increased somewhat during the quarter, partly driven by tariffs that are beginning to take effect, while weaker labor market data contributed to a decline in U.S. interest rates. The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) lowered the policy rate from 4.50% to 4.25% and signaled further possible cuts. The fund’s positioning for lower five-year rates benefitted from this.
In Europe and Sweden, market interest rates rose slightly. Inflation in the euro area was stable, and European Central Bank (ECB) Chair Christine Lagarde indicated that the rate would remain at 2.00%, stating that "the disinflation process is over." The Riksbank lowered its policy rate to 1.75% and signaled that the rate-cutting cycle is nearing its end. The fund’s temporary position for higher Swedish five-year rates relative to Europe was subsequently closed with a profit.
The quarter was characterized by continued strong risk sentiment. The high absolute levels in credit markets have continued to attract capital inflows, contributing to good liquidity and strong demand. Issuance activity was extensive, particularly in September, with heavily oversubscribed order books that at times pressured credit spreads.
Activity in green bonds was strong, especially in Europe and the Nordics. The fund invested in new green bond issues from companies such as SCA, AP Møller-Mærsk, Kraftringen, and Italian Terna. A new holding was also added: Nederlandse Waterschapsbank NV, a state-owned Dutch bank financing public water authorities. Through its green bonds, the bank channels capital to projects that enhance flood protection, improve water treatment, and promote climate adaptation—with the goal of building sustainable infrastructure that protects communities and the environment from the effects of climate change.