Portfolio manager comments — Q2 2025
Fund performance was positive during the second quarter, rising by nearly 8% in SEK.
The Japanese equity market plunged in early April following President Trump’s announcement of new tariffs, briefly falling below the August 2024 low. However, it quickly rebounded as US equities, bonds and the dollar weakened.
In May and June, optimism spread as the anticipated impact of the tariffs appeared less severe than initially feared, helping the Nikkei regain its pre-"Liberation Day" levels.
The market experienced a shift during the quarter, with small-cap and mid-cap companies leading the rally early on, while larger and export-oriented companies performed better toward the end.
During the May earnings season, companies generally issued cautious guidance for fiscal year 2026. Many cited tariff uncertainty and a stronger yen, driven by a weakening dollar. At the same time, share buyback levels were higher than during the same period last year. There was also an increase in announced MBOs and delistings of dual-listed parent and subsidiary companies. Activist investors had greater success at this year’s AGMs, with more shareholder proposals being approved than in previous years.
Despite the market recovery, trade negotiations between Japan and the US remain unresolved, and some fundamental conditions are still lacking. Against this backdrop, the fund increased its exposure to sectors with strong domestic demand, such as IT services, construction, and IP and gaming-related companies—areas considered less sensitive to trade restrictions. At the same time, the fund reduced its holdings in larger companies with higher exposure to international trade.
NTT Data, the fund’s most overweight holding, was acquired by its parent company NTT during the quarter. The deal, which offered shareholders a premium of around 40%, made NTT Data the single largest contributor to the fund’s outperformance during the period.
Large-cap and semiconductor equities rebounded strongly in the later part of the quarter, further supporting performance.