Portfolio manager comments — Q4 2024
Fund performance was negative during the final quarter of the year. A sharp weakening of the Brazilian real relative to SEK made an additional impact on the negative returns. As in the previous quarter, the political developments in Brazil played a key role, with the market concerned that the government is not taking sufficient action to control the public expenditures. This has led to rising interest rates, a weakened currency and weak share price performance for companies with domestic exposure.
Despite this, the economic growth was unexpectedly positive and company reports were generally strong. However, politics and macro factors continue to outweigh fundamental valuations. One example is the building materials company Dexco, which reported good results but whose stock price was put under pressure by expectations of a challenging interest rate cycle.
Brazilian Klabin was the strongest contributor to fund returns during the quarter. The company reported strong results and its currency exposure has benefited from the weakening Brazilian real. In addition, the significant investments made by the company in recent years is beginning to generate positive cash flow and create value for shareholders going forward.
The Brazilian stock exchange operator B3 also posted strength. The company exceeded low expectations with a result that was driven by earnings from segments other than stock trading.
In addition to Dexco, Lojas Renner also had weak performance in the market and had a negative impact on returns, despite a strong start to the year and quarterly reports that indicate clear improvements in the company.
The fund has a thematic investment process with Demographics, Productivity, Environment and Lifestyles as the main themes.