Portfolio manager comments — Q1 2025
Fund performance was negative during Q1 2025. The fund was dominated by two separate market regimes. Initially the market rose sharply, driven by expectations of improvements to the European economy and support from the German stimulus package. The package was negotiated in record time after the election in order to be approved before any change to the parliamentary climate. The market then declined due to concerns about US tariffs as well as signs of weaker consumption in the US, which are factors that can weaken Europe’s economy further instead of contributing to the expected recovery.
The initial upturn benefited primarily those companies with pressure on profitability due to high energy prices, inflation and weak regional demand, i.e., companies with cyclical sensitivity that do not meet the quality requirements in the Selektive fund process. As a result, the fund was unable to fully benefit from the upturn, although the fund outperformed the index during the market’s subsequent weakening in March.
Financial companies were the primary contributors to fund returns in the quarter, with Nordea, BNP Paribas, ING, Deutsche Börse, Air Liquide and Bawag at the forefront.
We reduced the exposure to cyclical companies where we have had solid returns, such as in Siemens, Legrand and Atlas Copco. Schneider Electric and Diploma are the most significant remaining holdings in the fund.
Within the consumer sector we added new holdings in Next, TUI and Zalando, with Next contributing positively after a strong quarterly report.
During Q1 2025 we had an overweight within banks and insurance that yielded strong returns. We currently have a more neutral position due to the greater uncertainty in the macro environment.
*Solactive ISS ESG Screened Europe Index.