Portfolio manager comments — Q3 2025
The Japanese stock market in the third quarter was characterized by record-breaking gains in major indices, strong performance in AI-related stocks, and a sustained liquidity-driven rally. The Nikkei 225 broke through the 45,000 mark in September.
The global market was fueled by ongoing monetary easing expectations and abundant liquidity. The Fed's expected rate cut in September reinforced the financial and excess-liquidity-driven market trend. Although the Bank of Japan unexpectedly announced the start of ETF sales, causing a temporary plunge, the Japanese market quickly recovered. Foreign investors continued net buying in futures, supporting the Japanese market.
In politics and policy, the U.S.-Japan tariff agreement, which reduced auto tariffs to 15%, was viewed positively as negative factors had already been priced in. Domestically, Prime Minister Ishiba's resignation following the LDP's upper house election defeat triggered a leadership election, raising expectations for Abenomics 2.0 under successor candidate, Sanae Takaichi and fueling hopes for fiscal stimulus, which pushed long-term interest rates higher.
Sector performance showed value stocks outperforming growth stocks, with non-ferrous metals, mining, and electronics leading gains. Activist investors intensified their involvement in MBO targets, highlighting growing shareholder influence. A healthy rotation occurred from large-cap export-oriented stocks to lagging domestic and small-cap stocks. Notable corporate activities included Sony Group's spin-off of Sony Financial Group, and a series of overseas acquisitions by Japanese firms.
The Fund’s performance in the period was primarily driven by the Fund’s overweight positions in semiconductor materials manufacturer JX Advanced Metals, and AI-related holdings SoftBank Group and Fujikura. We subsequently took profits on select names that had experienced significant appreciation. The proceeds were strategically redeployed into new positions in Sumitomo Electric Industries, which is expanding its presence in AI data center optical cables, and Mitsubishi Electric, where profit growth in the infrastructure segment has become more pronounced.