Portfolio manager comments — Q3 2025
The fund delivered a positive absolute return during the third quarter, but performance lagged its benchmark, the Solactive ISS ESG Screened Latin America Large Mid & Small Cap UCITS Index NTR. The primary driver of the relative underperformance was the absence of investments in the mining industry, where many stocks – particularly those exposed to precious metals – performed very strongly. With the exception of the Chilean peso, the most relevant currencies for the fund strengthened slightly against the U.S. dollar during the quarter. The market has increasingly begun to price in interest rate cuts in the United States, which has supported the positive momentum in the region.
Looking ahead, domestic drivers are expected to become increasingly important. In Argentina, elections were held in the Buenos Aires province during the quarter, with results that did not meet market expectations. This led to sharp declines in financial assets, negatively impacting the fund’s holding in Banco Galicia. The upcoming midterm elections will be decisive for the continuity of the reform agenda initiated under President Javier Milei.
In Brazil, the country is approaching an election year, and equity market developments are likely to be influenced by the outcome. Market favorite Tarcísio de Freitas, governor of São Paulo, may have strengthened his prospects during the quarter. A political shift could pave the way for a tighter fiscal policy and broad interest rate cuts, which in turn could benefit the equity market. The largest positive contributor to fund performance was Pinfra, a Mexican infrastructure company that posted strong results and completed the sale of a port investment. The company has robust growth prospects and a very strong financial position. Laureate Education, which operates universities in Mexico and Peru, also reported solid results and enjoyed positive share price performance.
The most negative contributors – in addition to the underweight in the mining sector – were the exchange operators B3 (Brazil) and BMV (Mexico), both of which failed to participate in the positive market sentiment. Klabin, a Brazilian paper producer, also underperformed, hurt by a strong local currency and declining prices for its products.